Behavioral Analytics

Strategy

Why, Where, What and How
Measure Everything
Web Data Streams
Web Analytics
Clustering Tribes
Engagement Marketing
Tell Your Friends
The Enterprise
Mob Profiles
Biofeedback Marketing
Consulting Services

Measure Everything

Behavioral analytics is really about going back to the future, over fifty years ago merchants sold their products directly to consumers – tailors, bakers, butchers, shopkeepers all interacted with their customers at a very intimate level – enabling them to provide personalized service and to know and learn their clients tastes and preferences.  Today the Web and wireless replicate this intimate and congenial store front environment in a digital format.   

This new digital store front enables today’s marketers and enterprises to track the proclivity of clusters of consumers via behavioral analytics; it enables the creation of ‘tribes’ of consumers who tend to have similar preferences, price points and behaviors.  It enables the creation of consumer ‘buckets’ that is the clustering of their similarities via the use of machine learning algorithms.  These tribes and buckets use a combination of demographics, psychographics, and observed behaviors to classify consumers and microtarget to them at a new level of detail.  Years ago marketers used to say you are where you live; today the mantra is you are how you behave.   

However the use of such tools does not make the process of behavioral analytics an automatic system of classification. The machines are tools which need to be trained and aimed by human handlers; as such they need a strategy for accomplishing this.  The key strategy for executing and leveraging behavioral analytics for the marketer and enterprise is to plan and design a framework from which consumers’ behaviors can be captured and modeled.  Every behavior should be analyzed to determine what outcome results from them.  

Consumers should be gradually organized into buckets of unique outcomes, for example at the most basic level this can be consumers who buy vs. consumers who don’t buy.  At your website you need to know where visitors come from, what they buy, how much they spend, how long they stay, what ads they click on – measure everything – the objective is to study the patterns of consumer behaviors and consumption, in order to anticipate their appetites and preferences. 

Create an ongoing framework of processes from which buckets of consumer behaviors can be refined down to the unique service and product levels.  The strategy is to create a continuous and systemic method of quantifying consumers’ behaviors and to continuously measure everything – this can include error rates, consumer lift, total sales, conversion rates, false positives, abandoned shopping carts, etc., start small but gradually expand your efforts. 

Behavioral analytics is commonly bundled with the term data mining. But data mining is actually a marketing term coined by HNC a San Diego-based company over a decade ago to pitch their ‘Data Mining Workstation’ over time the company went into the business of detecting credit card fraud for banks via their FALCON service.  HNC eventually morphed into Fair Isaac the keeper of your FICO score and mine.  So what is the point? Data mining is a marketing slogan, what we are really talking about is the prediction of human reactions and actions by quantifying their behaviors.    

For marketers and enterprises the analysis of consumer and customer activity starts with the use of machine-learning algorithms which can generate conditional IF/THEN business rules or scorecards to quantify and monetize consumer behaviors.  These algorithms can be embedded in other operational systems, such as those that concentrate on business intelligence, web analytics, call site operations and CRM systems.  Behavioral analytics is at the core of modeling, profiling and prediction in marketing, medicine, law enforcement, counterterrorism and business intelligence.  Most importantly behavioral analytics is the future of advertising.   

Behavioral analytics can be accomplished at any consumer touch point; however enterprises must carefully plan on how they will capture and create important consumer data streams.  The problem for enterprises is that these consumer data streams from websites, call sites, processing centers, email servers and an array of other transactional legacy systems are scattered in different locations, each in unique formats performing diverse operations in a totally disjointed manner.  

There are several Internet mechanisms such as log files, cookies, beacons, forms, JavaScript, databases, email servers, call site and transactional software which can be enlisted to create consumer data streams for an enterprise.  There are also real-time demographics products – they offer lifestyle clusters segments and profiles – which can be used to enhance the quality of internal consumer data streams, in order to gain a more customer-centric view and precise ensemble of segmentation models from behavioral analytics. 

There are also ad and demographic networks and recommendation engines which an enterprise can subscribe to – in order to enhance its online presence and sales – in this instance behavioral analytics is outsourced to the network provider.  In this new behavioral analytics paradigm: data collection, integration and analysis is a seamless stream of activity taking place over a ‘reactive network’ and not a static warehouse – allowing an enterprise to customize targeted offers, incentives and advertisements – based on what it knows about each unique consumer.  

The core strategy for an enterprise is on how to create, connect and analyze all of these consumer data streams in a global architecture which can react with precision and value.  Behavioral analytics ‘filters’ need to be strategically positioned to react as customer events take place with no latency.  These filters are a set of business rules created from behavioral analytics gather from multiple and diverse enterprise data sources and customer streams.   

An enterprise can enlist both deductive and inductive streaming analytical software products and services which are event-driven – to link, monitor and analyze its consumer data streams for behavioral analytics.  The deductive streaming software products allow for the creation of user-defined business rules, while the inductive streaming products develop predictive rules from the data itself.  The inductive streaming products build their rules from global models involving the segmentation and analysis of data from clouds of multiple data sources within an enterprise.   There are also clustering software which can be used to create consumer groupings based on words they use to describe themselves, their preferences and opinions.

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The clustering of consumer words by a wireless provider

The clustering of words from call sites, emails, instant messages, chat, website forms and phone calls can be used for the creation of matrixes of words along categories of clothes, music, movies, electronics, etc., for certain tribal groupings.  Or, as the case of the previous graphic, the grouping can be along the lines of customer issues, complaints, and requests for help regarding their phones.  These grouping can be automatically clustered along the lines of keywords.
   

The clustering software uses a Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) neural network and is available from Viscovery Software GmbH which provides a free evaluation copy at somine.info. 

   

This type of clustering is done automatically by the software and is known as “unsupervised learning” – that is the analysis organizes by itself along key words or consumer groups – it is a useful first step for a behavioral analytic strategy.  That is, it lets the behaviors or words of consumers organize themselves into distinct cluster of groups or tribes without bias.

 
C H E C K L I S T:
This is a behavioral analytics checklist for using this type of undirected knowledge discovery:

1. Identify the source of words or behaviors you want to cluster, for example an online survey, call site transcripts, emails, website behaviors, etc.

2. Build and train a cluster of words or behaviors, using clustering SOM software let the words and behaviors organize themselves into natural groupings.

3. Evaluate the accuracy of the clusters against new words and behaviors, taking unseen words and behaviors from the same source used to build the model, how accurate are the predictions?

4. Consider what the clusters have revealed and generate new analyzes, this usually involves supervised leaning using machine-learning algorithms.      

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This type of undirected unsupervised type of knowledge discovery with (SOM) software can also be used for market basket analyzes.  They can lead to answers to such questions as why do products or services sell together, or who is buying what combinations of products or services, which can be used for up and cross selling initiatives.  Lastly, they can also map when purchases are made.   
 
Unsupervised knowledge clustering usually leads to subsequent analyzes, which will be covered in detail in subsequent chapters, this is when one cluster is compared to another and new knowledge is discovered as to why.  Using a set of different algorithms, the features of the tribes can be discovered by the process of supervised learning, in this process the algorithms can answer why one cluster is different from another and what are the unique features of each group.  This process involves the use of decision tree software, the following is a graphics of this type of supervised learning and is a good second step to a behavioral analytics strategy.

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Decision tree segmenting consumers into different buckets
C H E C K L I S T:
However before getting into the details, here is a checklist for executing a behavioral analytics strategy by marketers and enterprises: 
1. Ensure IT systems and the behaviors they capture for analyzes are aligned with the business goals of the enterprise or client.  
2. Design the behavioral analytics systems to make the consumer experience so unique it will ensure their loyalty for life. 
3. Leverage existing legacy systems with external analytics services, such as real-time demographics, recommendation engines and analytical and wireless networks.
4. Incrementally measure the results of the streaming analytical unsupervised and supervised models to optimize their performance.
5. Recognize that behavioral analytics systems need to be flexible and adaptive to change within a rapidly evolving business environment – model often.
6. Be aware that every enterprise is unique, so its behavioral analytics architecture, components, and design will be driven by its industry and marketplace, as well as the type of product or service it offers to consumers.
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Advanced, revenue-driven, strategic planning by both marketers and enterprises will ensure the success of behavioral analytics efforts.  In behavioral analytics, the most important issue is the location, aggregation and use of the right data.  Knowing this from the start can lead to improved ROI and customer satisfaction.  Secondly, the strategist should create a framework for measuring everything, with the frame of mind to learn and evolve to new levels of profitability and customer satisfaction.  Strategically plan on what and how consumer behavior data will be captured – continuously measure its significance and value. This, by the way should be a group effort involving decision-makers from the website, call site, operational, marketing, sales and production departments and divisions.  Every level should have a stake in the behavioral analytics strategy – from the CIO down to web designer and Java cutters – having a stake on the strategy can be associated to their performance evaluation and will ensure a commitment to make it succeed by all in the team.
C H E C K L I S T:
Here is a checklist for marketers and enterprises to use in evaluating their option to optimize their behavioral analytics strategy and vendors – all of which will be covered in more detail in subsequent section of the site – but at this time there is a need to grasp the wide number of options available for a successful behavioral analytical strategy:  
   
Q.  What word-of-mouth (WOM) marketing engine should I be using?
Umbria - Analyzes blogs for insights into brands, products, markets, and trends.
ClearSaleing - Offers online advertising and marketing services.
BlogsvertisePay blogging promotion service.
Zuberance - Enable fans to recommend a brand to friends.
   
Q.  What mob marketing recommendation software or network should I consider?
ChoiceStream - Personalization and recommendation software.
ATG - Software used by websites to personalize information.
Lotame - Behavioral ad services, twitter, blogs, social secretary.
Criteo - Finds visitors after they leave a site.  
   
Q. What web log analysis tool, service or sniffer tool should I use?
Google Analytics - A free service, generates statistics about visitors to a website.
WebTrends - Provides web analytics and other marketing solutions.
ClickTracks - Visual analysis of web site visitor behavior; uses log files.
NetStat - Generates web site activity and conversion tracking reports.
Clickstream Tech - Web content management product, measures every page display.
SiteSpect - Multivariate testing for increasing conversion rates on landing pages.
Coremetrics - ASP-based service on visitor browsing and purchasing behavior.   
   
Q.  Do I need to subscribe to a contextual marketing ad network, if so which?
BuzzLogic - Blog about social media and influencer analysis.
Glam - Covers fashion, celebrity style tips for women.
TheHealthCentralNetwork - A collection of more than 30 health and wellness sites.
ActiveAthleteMedia - Connects advertisers with consumers engaged in sports. 
   
Q.  What social networking marketing providers should I be subscribing to?
PandemicLabs - Viral marketing and social media blog.
SocialMedia - Social advertising network for monetizing traffic.
ContextOptional - Builds apps on Facebook, iPhone, and other social platforms.
Cubics - Advertising network targets users of Facebook, MySpace, Friendster.
Powered - Builds programs that combine social networking and community.
KickApps - Provides social networking, message boards, video sharing, viral widgets.
Jivox – Users can create, deploy and monitor their own video ads.
33Across - Focusing on where people sit in their social graph. 
   
Q. Should I be leveraging a wireless marketing ad network provider, if so which?
AdMob - Build brand awareness, target mobile users, and monetize traffic.
Quattro - Mobile ad network with targeting capabilities.
Jumptap - Mobile search engine and advertising network. 
Amethon - Offers outsourced WAP hosting and SMS gateway.
MS ScreenTonic -  Mobile advertising company. 
   
Q.  What real-time analytical streaming service and software should I evaluate?
RevenueScience - Flexible targeting platform for digital media. 
BlueFreeway - Behavioral targeting and web analytics solutions provider.
RiverGlass – Streaming search software.
Streambase - Complex event processing streaming software. 
eSignal - Real-time financial and market streaming software.
Aleri – Real-time streaming analytic platform.
InferX – Real-time behavioral analytics software. 
   
Q.  What Geolocation provider should I use to triangulate consumers?
Quova – Geolocation of IP Addresses down to 20 miles.
Digital Envoy – IDs IP addresses location, domain name and connection. 
AkamiPerformance management, streaming media services and content delivery.
DNSStuff - DNS tools, network tools, DNS reporting and IP information gathering.
Panacode - Statistics, where visitors come from, who owns the site, and related links.
GeoBytes – Geolocation software and services.
MaxMind - Determines the country, region, city and ISP of Internet visitors. 
   
Q.  What behavioral marketing network should I subscribe to?
Tacoda - Ad network with targeted online marketing.
AdWords - Ad platform offering both cost-per-click and cost-per- impression pricing.
Doubleclick – Ad network for agencies, marketers and publishers.
FetchBack - Specializes in a form of behavioral targeting called retargeting.
eLoyalty – Consulting services focused on optimizing customer interactions.
Valtira - On-demand landing pages and personalized content. 
   
Q.  What engagement marketing providers should I evaluate?
Satmetrix - Software and services focused on customer experience management.
MotiveQuest – Brand advocacy service to understand customer motivations. 
   
Q.  How can I leverage voice and text recognition providers, and which should I use?
Yapme - Service allows phones to send text messages by talking.
Nuance – Dragon naturally speaking software.
SimulScribe – Reads your voice mail.
PhoneTag - Convert voicemail to text and deliver it via e-mail.  
   
Q.  What profiling psychographic targeting providers should I use?
aCerno - Clearinghouse for anonymous cookies.
Mindset-Media - Psychographic targeting. 
   
Q. Can real-time demographics improve my online sales, if so which?
Acxiom - ConnectionPoint-X product.
Experian – Can be used with their VeriScore to target.
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Some of these vendor offer services which marketers and enterprises may want to consider as part of their overall behavioral analytics strategy.  Use a request for proposal (RFP) to evaluate and document expectations and parameters of performance by these solution providers.  Test and compare the results of these firms should you choose to employ them.Plan and test what behavioral, demographics, customer, transactional, contextual and other types of enterprise data will be captured.   Keep in mind that everything can be measured in terms of revenue, loyalty, relevancy, satisfaction, speed, and performance.  Every single item resides in some digital format: amenable to behavioral analytics.  The strategic problem is mapping it into a framework for testing and gradually perfecting it into action and measuring the revenue it generates for enterprises. The following analysis used a Self-Organizing Map neural network to cluster the various classes (buckets) of website visitors: 

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Clustering software can be used to discover consumer tribes   
 
An enterprise’s website is the lead market engine since it generated the data for modeling consumer behaviors involving the discovery and learning about products and services – the locating, comparing, configuring, pricing, leaving and returning – and finally, the selecting and buying.  Behavioral analytics involves the tracking and measuring all of these consumer events – and their sequential organization – for the discovery of monetization patterns.   
 
The advantage to digital marketers and enterprises is that behavioral analytics support the quantitative ability to measure marketing success and failure on a continuous and flexible manner in near real time.  Key indicators of revenue and loyalty flows can now be easily tracked, validated and leveraged.  Not only can behaviors be captured instantly as ‘consumer events’ take place – but the resulting offers of products, services or content can also be measured and adjusted for optimization.   
 
The behavioral analytics strategy should be designed with the objective of understanding who the consumer is and what their needs are.  The strategy should strive to seek more relevant and targeted offers which are of higher value to the consumer.  The strategy can start by performing a simple segmentation analysis of: profitable vs. unprofitable customers or, most loyal vs. least loyal. Do this to discovery the core features of both tribes, what attributes are most important?    
 
Establish your consumer ‘buckets’ based not solely on where they live but how they behave and some combination thereof.  Use one-click surveys to capture visitor feedback to continuously adjust and refine what you offer to each cluster, group, or bucket of consumers.  Targeting in your industry’s behaviors is something only you can determine.  What is important is that this partitioning of behaviors be based on analyzes tested and measured in terms of total sales or other metrics, which you will determine are of most value to your growth and revenue.  
 
The challenge in harvesting continuous streams of consumer data, all originating from diverse locations is in assembling them into global models, which can enable the marketer and enterprise to understand how consumers are behaving and why – and anticipating those behaviors via the use of analytical services and software and/or a combination of both.
     

Most of today’s consumer research and find the products they need and want on the Web.  Depending on the price they either buy it online or offline.  However, purchasing a pair of shoes is different from buying a car which requires taking out for a spin and haggling about the price.  Understanding how the targeted consumers behave through these multiple channels for product or service is an important factor in developing a successful behavioral analytics strategy for marketers and enterprises.